6 ways the U.S. could get into real trouble from Trump’s economic decisions
President Donald Trump’s arbitrary, personalized and quixotic policymaking is at odds with creating tax and regulatory ...
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The stock market's euphoria-driven record highs are at risk of a painful downturn, 'Black Swan' investor says
"Black Swan" investor Mark Spitznagel thinks that the stock market's streak of record highs is distracting from a more jarring reality that could come by year-end. In a recent interview with ...
US Recession Fear Raises ‘Gray Swan’ Risk for Bond Investors
Investors are fretting that a year-long rally in global credit is papering over the risk that US policy uncertainty tips the ...
U.S. News & World Report2y
5 Ways to Prepare Your Portfolio for Black Swan Events
Popularized by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his 2007 book, "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable," the term has been used to describe a litany of market catastrophes such as the 2008 ...
Financial Advisor5d
Recession Fear Raises 'Gray Swan' Risk For Bond Investors
A model by JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists showed in mid-March that the S&P 500 was pricing a 33% probability of a US recession, up from 17% at the end of November, while credit was only pricing in 9 ...
Moneyweb4d
US recession fear raises ‘grey swan’ risk for bond investors
Credit markets in the US are pricing in a much lower chance of a recession than equity markets are and something has to give, ...